Category Archives: Awards

2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Lead Actor

It seemed as though Gary Oldman was going to win Best Lead Actor for his role as Winston Churchill in Darkest Hour all the way back when the first photo of him in full makeup released. And as the film released at festivals, nearly every critic suggested that it was his time.

Then, Timothée Chalamet and Call Me by Your Name came. Chalamet picked up nearly every single critic group award. But as the industry awards started coming, the momentum shifted back to Oldman, with him winning the BAFTA award and the SAG award. And with him also winning the Critics’ Choice award and the Golden Globe, it’s difficult to choose anyone other than him.

Chalamet did win a Best Lead Actor award as recent as last night at the Indie Spirit awards. And it’s terribly sad that that might be where it stops for him. His performance is clearly the best of the bunch.

Oldman might’ve had a more serious contender had Christian Bale been nominated for Hostiles, as age bias couldn’t play a role there. Had Hostiles been acquired by a better distributor sooner, Bale would’ve put up a fight.

The Nominees
Gary Oldman — Darkest Hour
Daniel Day-Lewis — Phantom Thread
Timothée Chalamet — Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Kaluuya — Get Out
Denzel Washington — Roman J. Israel, Esq.

Will win: Gary Oldman — Darkest Hour
Could win: Timothée Chalamet — Call Me by Your Name
Should win: Timothée Chalamet — Call Me by Your Name
Should’ve been nominated: Christian Bale — Hostiles

 

Featured image via Focus Features.

2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Lead Actress

Sigh. These acting categories have become so boring. Best Lead Actress, in particular, could’ve been really, really interesting. As the awards season started, it seemed as though any of these five outstanding performances could’ve picked up awards. But then, Frances McDormand swept the precursors. It’s disappointing, as her performance is the most explicit and, thus, least fruitful. Out of all of the races, it’s difficult to be as frustrated here because McDormand is such an awesome figure. But again, things could’ve been more interesting.

The beloved Sally Hawkins might have an outside shot to spoil, as might Saoirse Ronan and even Margot Robbie (see? the fact that all of these feel as though they have outside shots shows how strong this category is). However, the right bet is the safe one.

The Nominees
Frances McDormand — Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

Saoirse Ronan — Lady Bird
Sally Hawkins — The Shape of Water
Meryl Streep — The Post
Margot Robbie — I, Tonya

Will win: Frances McDormand — Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Could win: Sally Hawkins — The Shape of Water
Should win: Margot Robbie — I, Tonya
Should’ve been nominated: Jessica Chastain — Molly’s Game

 

Featured image via Fox Searchlight Pictures.

2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor

Like Best Supporting Actress, the Best Supporting Actor category has, in industry awards, differed from the critics. Willem Dafoe was an overwhelming critic favorite. But Sam Rockwell has swept the precursors like Allison Janney has, winning the Golden Globe, the Indie Spirit award, the Critics’ Choice award, the BAFTA award and the SAG award.

Plenty of people in the industry adore Willem Dafoe, but he needed some kind of bump to hang on here.

The Nominees
Willem Dafoe — The Florida Project
Sam Rockwell — Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins — The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer — All the Money in the World
Woody Harrelson — Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri

Will win: Sam Rockwell — Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Could win: Willem Dafoe — The Florida Project
Should win: Willem Dafoe — The Florida Project
Should’ve been nominated: Jason Mitchell — Mudbound

 

Featured image via Fox Searchlight Pictures.

2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

What a disappointing result in this category. It may not be official, but it might as well be. I, Tonya‘s Allison Janney won the Golden Globe, Critics’ Choice award, the Indie Spirit award, the SAG award and the BAFTA award.

While there’s still hope that Laurie Metcalf might garner just enough love from the entire Academy — never say never — one would think that Metcalf would take at least one or two of those. And though Metcalf may be beloved, so is Janney, and Janney has apparently been schmoozing at parties and such during the awards season — a key part of campaigning.

The Nominees
Laurie Metcalf — Lady Bird
Allison Janney — I, Tonya
Mary J. Blige — Mudbound
Lesley Manville — Phantom Thread
Octavia Spencer — The Shape of Water

Will win: Allison Janney — I, Tonya
Could win: Laurie Metcalf — Lady Bird
Should win: Laurie Metcalf — Lady Bird
Should’ve been nominated: Tatiana Maslany — Stronger

 

Featured image via Neon.

2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Director

Christopher Nolan finally got his long awaited first Oscar nomination for Best Director, almost a decade overdue after being snubbed for 2008’s The Dark Knight. In fact, Nolan should be on his third nomination, as he was also snubbed for Inception.

And while he deserves to win (and in this writer’s opinion, it shouldn’t even be close), he won’t. He’s the one that could put up the biggest fight, but there’s a clear favorite.

Guillermo del Toro has won both the BAFTA award and the Directors Guild of America award, the two massive indicators that all but tie a bow on this race.

The Nominees
Christopher Nolan — Dunkirk
Guillermo del Toro — The Shape of Water
Paul Thomas Anderson — Phantom Thread
Jordan Peele — Get Out
Greta Gerwig — Lady Bird

Will win: Guillermo del Toro — The Shape of Water
Could win: Christopher Nolan — Dunkirk
Should win: Christopher Nolan — Dunkirk
Should’ve been nominated: Luca Guadagnino — Call Me by Your Name

 

Featured image via Fox Searchlight Pictures.

2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

This category is very tough to work out. Martin McDonagh won the BAFTA award and the Golden Globe in this category, but one could suggest that BAFTA is more British-leaning (McDonagh is British) and that the Golden Globes don’t matter too much (because they don’t). Jordan Peele won Critics’ Choice award, which has lined up plenty with the Oscars in this category, as well as the WGA award; although, McDonagh wasn’t eligible to compete for the WGA award as he’s not part of the organization, so it’s difficult to tell whether or not Peele’s win puts him ahead of McDonagh.

I’m going to lean toward Jordan Peele, mostly because of the WGA win, but also because of the Critics’ Choice parallel and the fact that I think it’s the best nominated original script (and I believe that the Academy mostly gets this category right). And while McDonagh won the BAFTA, Peele also received a Best Director nomination, something that could boost his chances in this category. McDonagh did not receive a director nomination.

It’s tough to eliminate Lady Bird, though, especially because of how prevalent and prominent of a figure Greta Gerwig has been throughout the awards season. If Lady Bird could jump back into contention anywhere, it would likely be here.

Finally, don’t completely rule out Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor for The Shape of Water, as its widespread love will send votes to this category.

The Nominees
Jordan Peele — Get Out
Greta Gerwig — Lady Bird
Martin McDonagh — Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri
Emily V. Gordon, Kumail Nanjiani — The Big Sick
Guillermo del Toro, Vanessa Taylor — The Shape of Water

Will win: Jordan Peele — Get Out
Could win: Martin McDonagh — Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri
Should win: Jordan Peele — Get Out
Should’ve been nominated: Paul Thomas Anderson — Phantom Thread

 

Featured image via Universal Pictures.

2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay

When nominations were announced, this category was a two horse race between Call Me by Your Name and Mudbound, with a dark horse contender in Molly’s Game. But the awards season and the precursors have really clarified exactly who the winner will be.

James Ivory has picked up the WGA award, the BAFTA award, the Critics’ Choice award and the USC Scripter award — all of them being major precursors.

So, while a win for Mudbound would be very deserved and very exciting, this is entirely Ivory’s to lose.

The Nominees
Dee Rees, Virgil Williams — Mudbound
James Ivory — Call Me by Your Name
Aaron Sorkin — Molly’s Game
Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber — The Disaster Artist
James Mangold, Scott Frank, Michael Green — Logan

Will win: James Ivory — Call Me by Your Name
Could win: Dee Rees, Virgil Williams — Mudbound
Should win: James Ivory — Call Me by Your Name
Should’ve been nominated: Mark Bomback, Matt Reeves — War for the Planet of the Apes

 

Featured image via Sony Pictures Classics.

2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Feature

The back to back snubs of the two LEGO movies in this category is absolutely bizarre and intensely infuriating. The Boss Baby over The LEGO Batman Movie? Give me a break.

The anger may be worthless, though, as nothing was ever going to compete with Coco. The Pixar film has unsurprisingly racked up precursor awards and is one of the surest bets of the night — which makes it even more interesting considering that I would put both The Breadwinner and Loving Vincent above it.

The Nominees
Coco
Loving Vincent
The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Ferdinand

Will win: Coco
Could win: Nothing other than Coco
Should win: The Breadwinner
Should’ve been nominated: The LEGO Batman Movie

 

Featured image via Pixar.

2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Production Design

This race is a bit close. The Art Directors Guild gave their fantasy award to Blade Runner 2049 and their period award to The Shape of Water.

However, The Shape of Water also won the BAFTA award, pushing it over Blade Runner 2049 ever so slightly. While the Denis Villeneuve film may be a bit more deserving, its design astoundingly stunning, The Shape of Water would seemingly take some craft award somewhere beyond music when considering Guillermo del Toro’s massive lead in Best Director, and production design is the most likely and perhaps most obvious place to award it.

The Nominees
Dennis Gassner, Alessandra Querzola — Blade Runner 2049
Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer — Darkest Hour
Paul D. Austerberry, Jeff Melvin, Shane Vieau — The Shape of Water
Nathan Crowley, Gary Fettis — Dunkirk
Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer — Beauty and the Beast

Will win: Paul D. Austerberry — The Shape of Water
Could win: Dennis Gassner, Alessandra Querzola — Blade Runner 2049
Should win: Dennis Gassner, Alessandra Querzola — Blade Runner 2049
Should’ve been nominated: Rick Heinrichs, Richard Roberts — Star Wars: The Last Jedi

 

Featured image via Fox Searchlight Pictures.

2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Cinematography

All signs point to Roger Deakins winning his first Oscar for Blade Runner 2049, after a staggering 14 nominations.

Deakins won the BAFTA and the American Society of Cinematographers award this year, and the combination of those two precursors gives him a pretty significant lead.

Deakins is clearly the pick to make, but it’s difficult to completely rule out Hoyte van Hoytema for Dunkirk or Dan Laustsen for The Shape of WaterDunkirk is a craft heavyweight and the visuals, especially for those who had the pleasure of seeing it in 70mm, IMAX or IMAX 70mm, are absolutely stunning. Those technical aspects could be a benefit for it in this category. And Dan Laustsen could potentially ride the widespread adoration for The Shape of Water to a win.

But again, all signs point to Deakins. On another note, shifting out either Laustsen or Delbonnel for Hostiles‘ Masanobu Takayanagi would’ve greatly improved this crop.

The Nominees
Roger Deakins — Blade Runner 2049
Hoyte van Hoytema — Dunkirk
Dan Laustsen — The Shape of Water
Bruno Delbonnel — Darkest Hour
Rachel Morrison — Mudbound

Will win: Roger Deakins — Blade Runner 2049
Could win: Hoyte van Hoytema — Dunkirk
Should win: Hoyte van Hoytema — Dunkirk
Should’ve been nominated: Masanobu Takayanagi — Hostiles

 

Featured image via Warner Bros.

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