2018 Oscar Predictions
Oscar contention truly starts at the beginning of the year. Sundance Film Festival is host to plenty of independents, and there’s always one or two that get people talking. And oftentimes, those films carry. Look at Whiplash or Manchester by the Sea. Call Me by Your Name and Mudbound could do the same.
Spring quickly dries up, unless someone with the quality of Wes Anderson is releasing a film, and the public got a big contender right away with February’s Get Out.
The wait after that is not as long as one may think. May plays host to Cannes, and there always seems to be a few serious Best Picture contenders to come out of the French festival — The Florida Project seeming to be the one this year.
Then, if we’re lucky, someone like George Miller, with Mad Max: Fury Road, or, this year, Christopher Nolan, with Dunkirk, will start another public wide Oscars conversation with a summer release.
That film garners intense conversation — as Dunkirk did — long enough to last until the end of August when the remaining major festivals play out. Across about three weeks, Venice Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival and Toronto International Film festival all occur. There, the true contenders reveal themselves. Last year, Moonlight and La La Land screened with days of each other. This year, we got The Shape of Water, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri and Lady Bird.
Then, it’s suddenly the Fall season and we’re off to the races with those very films releasing to the public across the next four months. And, if we’re lucky, a film will sneak in last minute to round out the year, as Steven Spielberg’s The Post did.
For movie fans, the Oscars are truly a year long journey, and whether or not a film will compete for one has turned into a metric by which to judge quality — for better or for worse.
But we’re having particular fun with it this year, one of the more interesting years of recent memory. We’ve followed the journey since the start and we feel comfortable enough calling ourselves familiar with the field.
And now that the year is wrapping up and the races are getting steamy, we want to jump in with how we project those coveted Oscar nominations will turn out. Predicting the Oscars has turned into a competitive sport, and it’s one that we must play. Here are our predictions for the 90th Academy Awards:
Featured image via Warner Bros.