2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor

Best Supporting Actor is perhaps the most stacked category of the year. Upwards of 20 actors are deserving of nominations.

One name, however, has been a lock since Cannes Film Festival: Willem Dafoe. Dafoe has never been more wonderful and lovable in The Florida Project and it would be a shock not to hear his name come nominations day. He has the precursors to place him here.

But another name guaranteed for a nomination is Sam Rockwell for Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri. Perhaps unfairly, Rockwell almost becomes a co-lead character, and his turn is one of his best, something the industry agrees with after a win at SAG.

One of the Call Me by Your Name boys will find a place here. Even though SAG didn’t nominate either, it seems too bizarre for the Oscars to follow suit. It’s looking like it won’t be both, considering how stacked the category is. But everyone is just absolutely floored by Michael Stuhlbarg, especially because of a final act speech that yanks out tears from every viewer. Armie Hammer is definitely not out of contention, though.

Veteran actor Richard Jenkins plays the emotional support to Sally Hawkins in The Shape of Water, and his performance is just delightful. It’s one of the easier votes for the Academy and Jenkins has the necessary precursors.

And, in perhaps the most fascinating story of the year, Christopher Plummer actually could pull off a nomination for his performance in All the Money in the World. He filmed the part between Nov. 20 and Nov. 29, and he’s actually quite good in the role. Nominated at the Golden Globes and at BAFTA, and helped out by the story of his casting, Plummer is our guess for the fifth spot.

But there are certainly others that were so difficult to count out, especially with the category so stacked.

Strangely, Woody Harrelson has also competed for his performance in Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri. He doesn’t seem to be better than ‘Woody being Woody,’ but there is steam there after SAG and BAFTA nominations.

All of the actors of Mudbound have been raved about, but most signs point to Jason Mitchell as the potential one here. Mitchell was recently a contender for Straight Outta Compton, so the lack of a nomination there might give him more momentum here. But even without that, he is powerful and deserving.

But don’t forget Bridge of Spies Oscar-winner Mark Rylance for his turn in Dunkirk. Initially, Christopher Nolan’s war epic seemed not to have any standout actors. But as viewers thought back on the film and watched it a second time, Rylance stands out with such vast emotional power. A nomination would be well earned, but, with the film being more of a technical contender, difficult.

Finally, Steve Carell actually snuck in for a SAG nomination for Battle of the Sexes, so he could be a sneaky contender here.

The 5
Willem Dafoe — The Florida Project
Sam Rockwell — Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Stuhlbarg — Call Me by Your Name
Richard Jenkins — The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer — All the Money in the World

Could contend
Jason Mitchell — Mudbound
Armie Hammer — Call Me by Your Name
Woody Harrelson — Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Mark Rylance — Dunkirk
Steve Carell — Battle of the Sexes


Featured image via Fox Searchlight Pictures.

Leave a Reply